As the World Warms, Geopolitics Are Heating Up Too

 As the World Warms, Geopolitics Are Heating Up Too

As the global climate summit concludes at Glasgow, Scotland, the initial reactions will focus on the various national commitments made to reduce emissions — the key metric for preventing further temperature rises. But alongside environmental science and economic impact, leaders need to pay attention to the threat climate change poses to global peace and stability.

How will the world’s security situation change due to the climate crisis, and can nations forge a collective response to prepare for it?

By current estimates, the world is headed for a temperature increase of at least 2.7 degrees Celsius by the end of the century. This will lead to rapidly rising sea levels as the polar ice caps melt, more extreme weather and temperature shifts, major droughts and dangerous changes in the chemistry, volume and temperature of the oceans.

In geopolitics, current fault lines cast the US, European Union and other major democracies such as…

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